The model has simulated UCLA vs. LSU 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 70% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

LSU is 2-1 on the year and avenged its Week 1 neutral field loss to USC (27-20) with a 44-21 victory over Nicholls State and a 36-33 comeback thriller at South Carolina last week. The Tigers finished last year 10-3 with a Reliaquest Bowl victory against Wisconsin (35-31).

Coming off an ugly Big Ten debut last week, UCLA hits the road in SEC Country against No. 16 LSU in college football’s Week 4 action on Saturday. LSU checks in at 2-1 on the year after an opening loss to USC and is coming off a close call after trailing South Carolina by 17 points before mounting a comeback in a 36-33 victory last weekend.